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استراتژی دفاعی و امنیتی کیشیدا در برابر شکاف ژئوپلیتیکی چین وتایوان (2024-2021) | ||
سیاست جهانی | ||
مقاله 7، دوره 13، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 47، خرداد 1403، صفحه 143-167 اصل مقاله (904.07 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22124/wp.2024.25372.3244 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
محمد کرمپوری* 1؛ مسعود موسوی شفایی2 | ||
1دانشجوی دکترای علوم سیاسی، گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکده حقوق و علوم سیاسی دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد. ایران | ||
2دانشیا ر روابط بین الملل، گروه روابط بین الملل، دانشکده علوم انسانی. دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
تحت تاثیر پویاییها و تحولات اساسی در ژئوپلیتیک شرق آسیا به همراه ظهور تهدیدات امنیتی نوین به خصوص شکاف ژئوپلیتیکی چین و تایوان، ژاپن را وادار به تجدیدنظر در راهبرد دفاعی و امنیتی خودکرده است و بر اساس آن ژاپن ابهام استراتژیک خود را در مورد تایوان تغییر داده است و تایوان به اولویت استراتژیک کلان تبدیل میشود. در این شکاف ژئوپلیتیکی، چین به عنوان بزرگترین چالش استراتژیک در صورت تصرف تایوان موجب تغییر وضع موجود امنیتی و موازنه منطقهای به ضرر ژاپن میشود. بنابراین سوال مهم این است واکنش ژاپن به افزایش اهمیت دفاعی_امنیتی تایوان چگونه قابل تبیین است؟ بنابر فرضیه ژاپن در چارچوب اسناد دفاعی_امنیتی کیشیدا، با سرمایهگذاری کلان در امور دفاعی، موازنه فعال را در برابر چین اتخاذ میکند که شامل تحکیم اتحاد ژاپن و آمریکا، ایجاد موازنه قدرت منطقهای و بازدارندگی است. نتایج پژوهش نیز نشان میدهد کیشیدا برای جلوگیری از حمله چین به تایوان با اتخاذ استراتژی تعادل و مهار در چارچوب معماری جدید دفاعی ژاپن، عمق بازدارندگی چنددامنهای را به تنگه تایوان گسترش داده است و با دیپلماسی دفاعی واقعگرایانه، افزون بر افزایش مشارکت ژاپن در شبکه بازدارندگی یکپارچه آمریکا به منظور مهار چین، یک نظم امنیتی منطقهای و شبکه بازدارندگی جدید یکپارچه مبتنی بر همکاری امنیتی _دفاعی در چارچوب اتحادها و پیمانهای امنیتی با کشورهای همفکر در برابر اقدام نظامی احتمالی چین علیه تایوان ایجاد میکند. ماهیت روش توصیفی_تحلیلی است و از روش تحلیل مهمترین اسناد دفاع ملی، تحلیل کارشناسان مسائل دفاعی شرق آسیا و مراکز مطالعاتی امنیتی استفاده شده است. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
ژاپن؛ کیشیدا؛ تایوان؛ چین | ||
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