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ارزیابی پتانسیل تولید و خلأ عملکرد برنج در ایران با استفاده از مدل SSM-iCrop2 | ||
تحقیقات غلات | ||
دوره 11، شماره 3، آذر 1400، صفحه 175-191 اصل مقاله (1.04 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22124/cr.2022.20959.1696 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
صالح کرامت* 1؛ بنیامین ترابی2؛ افشین سلطانی3؛ ابراهیم زینلی2 | ||
1دانشجوی دکتری، گروه زراعت، دانشکده تولید گیاهی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی گرگان، گرگان، ایران | ||
2دانشیار، گروه زراعت، دانشکده تولید گیاهی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی گرگان، گرگان، ایران | ||
3استاد، گروه زراعت، دانشکده تولید گیاهی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی گرگان، گرگان، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
برنج در رژیم غذایی مردم ایران از جایگاه ویژهای برخوردار است. برای تامین نیاز کشور لازم است تولید این محصول افزایش یابد که با توجه به محدودیت سطح زیر کشت، افزایش عملکرد در واحد سطح روش مناسبتری است. یکی از بهترین راهها برای افزایش تولید، کاهش خلاء عملکرد میباشد. مطالعه حاضر با هدف برآورد خلاء عملکرد برنج در کشور در سال 1395 طراحی و اجرا شد. در این مطالعه، با استفاده از پروتکل اطلس جهانی خلاء عملکرد، مناطق اقلیمی و ایستگاههای هواشناسی مرجع تولید برنج در ایران تعیین شدند. ابتدا عملکرد واقعی برنج از آمارنامه کشاورزی کشور استخراج و سپس عملکرد پتانسیل در مناطق اصلی تولید این محصول با استفاده از مدل شبیهسازی SSM-iCrop2 و دادههای مربوط به آب و هوا، مدیریت و خاک برآورد شد. خلاء عملکرد از اختلاف بین عملکرد واقعی کشاورزان و عملکرد پتانسیل محاسبه شد. مقدار عملکرد واقعی برنج در مناطق اقلیمی اصلی تولید این محصول در کشور از 5/3 تا 2/5 تن در هکتار و عملکرد پتانسیل شبیهسازی شده از 3/6 تا 5/9 تن در هکتار برآورد شد. بنابراین میزان خلاء عملکرد از 1/2 تا 1/5 تن در هکتار متغیر بود. نتایج این تحقیق نشان داد که در صورت کاهش خلاء عملکرد برنج، میزان تولید این محصول را میتوان از 2 میلیون و 440 هزار تن به 4 میلیون و 103 هزار تن افزایش داد و بنابراین به خودکفایی در تامین برنج کشور دست یافت. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
عملکرد پتانسیل؛ عملکرد واقعی؛ شبیه سازی | ||
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