پیوندهای مفید
آمار
| تعداد نشریات | 33 |
| تعداد شماره‌ها | 886 |
| تعداد مقالات | 8,647 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 54,847,210 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 10,326,044 |
Innovative ways of agricultural development in the Republic of Kazakhstan | ||
| Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences | ||
| دوره 24، شماره 4، دی 2026، صفحه 997-1011 اصل مقاله (1.06 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22124/cjes.2026.9915 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Maxat Abraliyev* 1؛ Galiya Akimbekova2؛ Zhazira Kusmoldayeva1؛ Onalbek Abraliyev1؛ Moldir Kauymbayeva3 | ||
| 1Department of Management, al-Farabi Kazakh National University, 71 al-Farabi Ave., Almaty, 050040, Kazakhstan | ||
| 2Kazakh Research Institute of Economics of Agro-Industrial Complex and Rural Development, 30B Satpayev St., Almaty, 050057, Kazakhstan | ||
| 3Department of Veterinary Sanitary Examination and Hygiene, Faculty of Veterinary Science, Kazakh National Agrarian Research University, 8 Abay Avenue, Almaty, 050010, Kazakhstan | ||
| چکیده | ||
| This study determines which classes of agricultural innovation are economically justified under the factor prices, farm structure, and financing conditions prevailing in Kazakhstan and identifies the conditions under which their adoption becomes rational for the individual producer. This study applies partial-budget analysis in the ex-ante scenario tradition established in the economics of agricultural robotics. Cost, price, and policy parameters are drawn from the Kazakhstani market and official sources for 2023–2026; technical performance coefficients for AI-based targeted spraying are transferred from published field trials and treated as scenario bounds. The decision variable is the maximum investment a producer can justify over an eight-year horizon, evaluated at concessional and commercial discount rates across farm sizes from 1000 to 20000 hectares. Spring wheat production in Northern Kazakhstan operates at approximately zero economic profit in an average season, clearing at 4 400 KZT ha-1 at a yield of 12 c ha-1 and a price of 87 000 KZT ton-1. AI-based targeted spraying reduces herbicide expenditure by 8 780 to 15 200 KZT ha-1, a saving equivalent to a yield increase of 1.0 to 1.75 c ha-1 and amounting to two to three times the average gross margin. The binding constraint on adoption is the cost of capital rather than technical performance: concessional finance raises justifiable investment by 52%, an effect exceeding the entire range of technical performance uncertainty. The break-even sown area lies between approximately 1 400 and 4 200 hectares depending on system price and financing terms. This study replaces the technological recommendations that dominate the regional literature with an economic decision rule specifying technology class, farm size, financing terms, and investment sequence. It further establishes that robotization and fleet renewal are complements in sequence rather than competing alternatives, and that service provision rather than purchase subsidy is the viable diffusion pathway for producers below the scale threshold. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| Agricultural innovation؛ Kazakhstan؛ Digitalization؛ Digital technologies؛ Technology adoption؛ Partial budgeting؛ Investment appraisal؛ Targeted spraying | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
Alipbeki, O et al. 2024, Assessment of mechanisms for subsidizing agricultural cooperatives. Bulletin of Turan University.
Beckie, HJ, Ashworth, MB & Flower, KC 2019, Herbicide resistance management: recent developments and trends. Plants, 8.
Bekbossinova, A & Doszhan, R 2025, The impact of digitalization and investment on agricultural development in Kazakhstan. Eurasian Journal of Economic and Business Studies, 69: 81–96.
Blasch, J, van der Kroon, B, van Beukering, P, Munster, R, Fabiani, S, Nino, P & Vanino, S 2022, Farmer preferences for adopting precision farming technologies: a case study from Italy. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 49: 33–81.
Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan 2024, Gross output of products (services) of agriculture, forestry and fishing. Bureau of National Statistics, Astana.
Dauliyeva, G et al. 2022, Digital systems in agriculture of the Republic of Kazakhstan: a vector of success. Problems of AgriMarket.
Ehlers, MH, Huber, R & Finger, R 2021, Agricultural policy in the era of digitalisation. Food Policy, 100.
ElDala.kz 2025, Farmers calculate the production cost of the new wheat crop.
Eurasian Trading System 2025, Commodity exchange quotations for wheat, 11 august 2025. Eurasian Trading System, Astana.
Feder, G, Just, RE & Zilberman, D 1985, Adoption of agricultural innovations in developing countries: a survey. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 33: 255–298.
Iowa State University 2024, Field-scale evaluation of targeted spray technology, 20242024 season. Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa.
John Deere 2024, See && Spray technology: results of the 20242024 season.
Kazhiyeva, ZHH & Zhailaubayeva, ShD 2022, Problems of ensuring the effectiveness of state support for agriculture in east Kazakhstan region. Bulletin of Turan University, pp. 26–38.
Kurmanova, GK 2022, Factors of production of agriculture of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Economy: Strategy and Practice, 17.
Kvartiuk, V & Petrick, M 2021, Liberal land reform in Kazakhstan? the effect on land rental and credit markets. World Development, 138.
Lagnelöv, O, Dhillon, S, Larsson, G, Nilsson, D, Larsolle, A & Hansson, PA 2021, Cost analysis of autonomous battery electric field tractors in agriculture. Biosystems Engineering, 204: 358–376.
Lowenberg-DeBoer, J, Franklin, K, Behrendt, K & Godwin, R 2021, Economics of autonomous equipment for arable farms. Precision Agriculture, 22: 1992–2006.
Lowenberg-DeBoer, J, Huang, IY, Grigoriadis, V & Blackmore, S 2020, Economics of robots and automation in field crop production. Precision Agriculture, 21: 278–299.
Lowenberg-DeBoer, J, Behrendt, K, Ehlers, MH, Dillon, C, Gabriel, A, Huang, IY, Kumwenda, I, Mark, T, Meyer-Aurich, A, Milics, G, Olagunju, KO, Pedersen, SM, Shockley, J & Rose, D 2021, Lessons to be learned in adoption of autonomous equipment for field crops. Applied Economics Perspectives and Policy.
Mamun, A 2024, Impact of farm subsidies on global agricultural productivity. Agricultural Economics, 55: 346–364.
Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Kazakhstan 2026, Statements on production cost norms, machinery fleet renewal and investment subsidy rates, 2025–20262025–2026. Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Astana.
Mottaleb, KA, Rahut, DB, Ali, A, Gérard, B & Erenstein, O 2017, Enhancing smallholder access to agricultural machinery services: lessons from Bangladesh. Journal of Development Studies, 53: 1502–1517.
OECD 2025, Kazakhstan. OECD Publishing, Paris.
Petrick, M & Götz, L 2019, Herd growth, farm organisation and subsidies in the dairy sector of Russia and Kazakhstan. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 70: 789–811.
Rizov, M 2005, Does individualization help productivity of transition agriculture?. Agricultural Economics, 33: 215–227.
Şengül, S, Yıldız, H & Canbay, Ş 2025, International integration and agricultural productivity in Kazakhstan: a fourier ARDL approach. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies.
Siximbayeva, G, Shayakhmetova, K, Yernazarova, U & Ruzanov, R 2025, Efficiency of agriculture subsidies in Kazakhstan. Central European Journal of Public Policy, 19: 22–37.
Tleubayev, A, Bobojonov, I & Götz, L 2022, Agricultural policies and technical efficiency of wheat production in Kazakhstan and Russia: evidence from a stochastic frontier approach. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 54: 407–421.
Tleubayev, A, Kerimkhulle, S, Tleuzhanova, M, Uchkampirova, A, Bulakbay, Z, Mugauina, R, Tazhibayeva, Z, Adalbek, A, Iskakov, Y & Toleubay, D 2024, Econometric analysis of the sustainability and development of an alternative strategy to gross value added in kazakhstan’s agricultural sector. Econometrics, 12.
Tleubayev, A & Syzdykov, Y 2025, Technical efficiency of wheat production in Central Asia: empirical evidence from Kazakhstan. Journal of Asian and African Studies.
World Bank 2019, Kazakhstan: reversing productivity stagnation: country economic memorandum. World Bank, Washington, DC.
World Bank 2024, Republic of Kazakhstan: climate adaptation options and opportunities in agriculture. World Bank, Washington, DC. | ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 101 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 134 |
||