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Evaluating climate impact and anthropogenic activity on the pelagic species, Clupeonella caspia population parameters in the Caspian Sea | ||
Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences | ||
مقالات آماده انتشار، اصلاح شده برای چاپ، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 13 شهریور 1404 اصل مقاله (1.31 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22124/cjes.2025.9027 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
Hasan Fazli* 1؛ Aliasghar Janbaz1؛ Kambiz Khedmati2 | ||
1Caspian Sea Ecology Research Center, Iranian Fisheries Science Research Institute, Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization (AREEO), Sari, Iran | ||
2Inland Waters Aquaculture Research, Iranian Fisheries Science Research Institute, Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization (AREEO), Anzali, Iran | ||
چکیده | ||
This study aimed to assess the effects of various environmental factors, including sea surface level (SSL), seawater surface temperature (SST), the East Atlantic-West Russian pattern (EA_WR), river discharges (RD), and one human activity, fishing effort (E) on the variability of Clupeonella caspia bio-indicators over the last 27 years, using 118604 specimens. To analyze the data, dynamic factor analysis (DFA) was applied to parameters such as catch, abundance, spawning stock biomass (SSB), the percentage of immature individuals (Immature), the percentage of mega spawners (Mega), and the relative condition factor (Kn) derived from C. caspia datasets. Throughout the study period, catch, abundance, SSB, Mega, and Kn exhibited increasing trends, whereas the Immature displayed a decreasing one. Among the 324 models examined, the best-fit model featured a "diagonal and unequal" matrix and utilized SSL as an exploratory covariate, revealing two common trends. The first trend demonstrated a positive correlation with catch, abundance, SSB, and Mega, while negatively correlating with the percentage of immature individuals. The second trend showed a positive relationship solely with Kn. Additionally, catch, abundance, SSB, Mega, and Kn were positively correlated with SST but negatively with SSL. In contrast to two other kilka species, C. engraliformis and C. grimmi, C. caspia exhibits a distinct pattern; despite a decline in SSL and an increase in SST, its catch, abundance, and SSB all demonstrate an upward trajectory. Based on the indicators of Mega and Immature, the population structure of C. caspia appears to be relatively healthy. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
Abundance؛ Condition factor؛ Immature and mega spawner؛ Climate-driven؛ Clupenella caspia؛ Dynamic factor analysis؛ Caspian Sea | ||
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