پیوندهای مفید
آمار
| تعداد نشریات | 31 |
| تعداد شماره‌ها | 708 |
| تعداد مقالات | 6,677 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 9,224,480 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 6,334,284 |
How is climate change impacting net primary production and reference evapotranspiration in the Zagros region of western Iran? | ||
| Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences | ||
| مقالات آماده انتشار، اصلاح شده برای چاپ، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 19 فروردین 1403 اصل مقاله (1.36 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22124/cjes.2024.7692 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Pedram Attarod* 1؛ Omid Fathizadeh2؛ Parisa Abbasian3؛ Vilma Bayramzadeh4؛ Curtis Holder5؛ Qiuhong Tang6؛ Xingcai Liu6؛ Hamid Soofi Mariv1؛ Samira Beiranvand1 | ||
| 1Department of Forestry and Forest Economics, Faculty of Natural Resources, College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran | ||
| 2Ahar Colleges of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran | ||
| 3Natural Resources Bureau of Alborz Province, Natural Resources and Watershed Organization of Iran, Karaj, Iran | ||
| 4Department of Wood Science and Technology, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Karaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Karaj, Iran | ||
| 5Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Colorado, Colorado, USA | ||
| 6Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing, China | ||
| چکیده | ||
| We assessed how climate change may impact net primary production (NPP) and reference evapotranspiration (ET0) from the Zagros region of western Iran covered extensively by oak, -Quercus branti Lindl. forests. The daily meteorological parameters of temperature (T), precipitation (P), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (WS), and sunshine hours were obtained from 20 meteorological stations throughout the region over a 30-year period (1988-2017). Net primary production and ET0 were estimated by the synthetic and the FAO Penman-Monteith models, respectively. A non-dimensional relative sensitivity coefficient was used to examine the sensitivity of NPP and ET0 to changes in the meteorological parameters. The sensitivity analyses were carried out for T, P, and WS within a possible range of ± 10%, ± 30%, and ± 10%, respectively, from the long-term mean. Except for the P with no notable trend, other meteorological parameters exhibited upward or downward trends. The mean NPP and ET0 values were estimated to be 6.5 t ha-1 y-1 and 3.9 mm d-1 across the Zagros region, respectively. Net primary production was found to be more sensitive to precipitation with a sensitivity coefficient of 0.66 and less sensitive to temperature with a sensitivity coefficient of 0.40. The ET0 sensitivity coefficients in response to T changes doubled relative to WS (0.33 against 0.63). Identifying the contributing factors in NPP and ET0 trends is important for understanding the relative impacts of climate change and human activities in arid and semi-arid regions. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| FAO Penman-Monteith model؛ Sensitivity analyses؛ Synthetic model | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
Allen, RG, Pereira, LS, Raes, D & Smith, M 1998, Crop Evapotranspiration– Guidelines for computing crop water requirements. Rome, FAO, 326 p.
Anderegg, WR, Kane, JM & Anderegg, LD 2013, Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress. Nature Climate Change, 3: 30-36.
Attarod, P, Kheirkhah, F, Khalighi Sigaroodi, S & Sadeghi, SMM 2015, Sensitivity of reference evapotranspiration to global warming in the Caspian region, north of Iran. Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology, 17: 869–883.
Attarod, P, Rostami, F, Dolatshahi, A, Sadeghi, SMM, Zahedi Amiri, G & Bayramzadeh, V 2016, Do changes in meteorological parameters and evapotranspiration affect declining oak forests of Iran? Journal of Forest Science, 62: 553-561.
Attarod, P, Tang, Q, Van Stan, JT & Liu, X 2018, National assessment of throughfall sensitivity to changes in storm magnitude for the forests of Iran. Forest Systems, 27:e019. Doi: 10.5424/fs/2018273-13857.
Attarod, P, Tang, Q, Pypker, TG, Liu, X & Bayramzadeh, V 2018, Potential impact of climate change on throughfall in afforestation areas located in arid and semi-arid environments. Arid Land Research and Management, 35: 104-119. Doi.org/10.1080/15324982.2020.1804010
Attarod, P, Sadeghi, SMM, Pypker, TG & Bayramzadeh, V 2017, Oak trees decline; a sign of climate variability impacts in the west of Iran. Caspian Journal of Environmental Science, 15: 375-386.
Attarod, P, Beiranvand, S, Pypker, TG, Bayramzadeh, V, Helali, J, Mashayekhi, Z, Fathi, J, Soofi Mariv, H 2023, Are precipitation characteristics and patterns impacting oak trees decline in the Zagros region of western Iran? Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences, 21: 753-765
Azari, M, Oliaye, A & Nearing, MA 2021, Expected climate change impacts on rainfall erosivity over Iran based on CMIP5 models. Journal of Hydrology, 593: 125826.
Azizi, GH, Miri, M, Mohammadi, H & Pourhashemi, M 2015, Analysis of relationship between forest decline and precipitation changes in Ilam province. Iranian Journal of Forest and Poplar Research, 23: 502-515.
Bagheri, S, Zare-Maivan, H, Heydari, M, Kazempour Osaloo, SH 2020, Relationship between broadleaved mixed forest understory species groups with soil and elevation in a semi-arid Persian oak (Quercus brantii L.) ecosystem. Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences, 18: 157-170
Binkley, D, O’Connell, AM & Sankaran, KV 1997, Stand development and productivity. In management of soil, nutrients and water in tropical plantation forests. Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research (ACIAR), Canberra, Australia, pp. 419–442.
Bradford, JB, Lauenroth, WK, Burke, IC & Paruelo, JM 2006, The influence of climate, soils, weather, and land use on primary production and biomass seasonality in the US Great Plains. Ecosystems, 9: 934-950.
Bray, EA 1997. Plant responses to water deficit. Trends in Plant Science, 2: 48-54.
Briggs, JM & Knapp, AK 1995, Inter-annual variability in primary production in tall grass prairie: climate, soil moisture, topographic position, and fire as determinants of aboveground biomass. American Journal of Botany, 82: 1024-1030.
Chaouche, K, Neppel, L, Dieulin, C, Pujol, N, Ladouche, B, Martin, E, Salas, D & Caballero, Y 2010, Analyses of precipitation, temperature and evapotranspiration in a French Mediterranean region in the context of climate change. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 342: 234-243.
Chapin, FS, Matson, PA & Mooney, HA 2002, Principles of terrestrial ecosystem ecology. Second edition, Springer, pp. 151-175.
Chattopadhayay, N & Hulme, M 1997, Evaporation and potential evapotranspiration in India under conditions of recent and future climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 87: 55–73.
Chen, B, Zhang, X, Tao, J, Wu, J, Wang, J, Shi, P, Zhang, Y & Yu, C 2014, The impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on alpine grassland over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 189-190: 11-18.
Chenani, E, Yazdanpanah, M, Baradaran, M, Azizi-Khalkheili, T & Najafabadi, MM 2021, Barriers to climate change adaptation: Qualitative evidence from southwestern Iran. Journal of Arid Environments, 189: 104487.
Croitoru, AE, Piticar, A, Imbroane, AM & Burada, DC 2013, Spatiotemporal distribution of aridity indices based on temperature and precipitation in the extra-Carpathian regions of Romania. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 112: 597-607.
Davie, JCS, Falloon, PD, Kahana, R, Dankers, R, Betts, R, Portmann, FT & Arnell, N 2013, Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP. Earth System Dynamics, 4: 359-374.
Dinpashoh, Y, Jhajharia, D, Fakheri-Fard, A, Singh, VP & Kahya, E 2011, Trends in reference crop evapotranspiration over Iran. Journal of Hydrology, 399: 422-433.
Doulabian, S, Toosi, AS, Calbimonte, GH, Tousi, EG & Alaghmand, S 2021, Projected climate change impacts on soil erosion over Iran. Journal of Hydrology, 598: 126432.
Douville, H, Ribes, A, Decharme, B, Alkama, R & Sheffield, J 2013, Anthropogenic influence on multidecadal changes in reconstructed global evapotranspiration. Nature Climate Change, 3: 59-62.
Espadafor, M, Lorite, IJ, Gavilán, P & Berengena, J 2011, An analysis of the tendency of reference evapotranspiration estimates and other climate variables during the last 45 years in Southern Spain. Agricultural Water Management, 98: 1045-1061.
Esser, G 1987, Sensitivity of global carbon pools and fluxes to human and potential climatic impacts. Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 39B: 245–260.
FAO, 2014, Workshop on earth observation and Water-Energy-Food Nexus, The need for an integrated EO strategy and requirements to address the WEF, Nexus, 25-27 March, 2014, Rome, Italy.
Fathizadeh, O, Attarod, P, Pypker, TG, Darvishsefat, AA & Zahedi Amiri, G 2013, Seasonal variability of rainfall interception and canopy storage capacity measured under individual oak (Quercus brantii) trees in western Iran. Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology, 15: 164-175.
Fathizadeh, O, Hosseini, SM, Zimmermann, A, Keim, RF & Boloorani, AD 2017, Estimating linkages between forest structural variables and rainfall interception parameters in semi-arid deciduous oak forest stands. Science of the Total Environment, 601: 1824-1837.
Field, CB 2001, Sharing the garden. Science, 294: 2490-2491.
Field, CB, Lobell, DB, Peters, HA & Chiariello, NR 2007, Feedbacks of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change. Annual Review Environment and Resources, 32: 1-29.
Fu, W, Randerson, JT & Moore, JK 2016, Climate change impacts on net primary production (NPP) and export production (EP) regulated by increasing stratification and phytoplankton community structure in the CMIP5 models. Biogeosciences, 13: 5151– 5170. Doi: 10.5194/bg‐13‐5151‐2016.
Gang, C, Zhou, W, Li, J, Chen, Y, Mu, S, Ren, J, Chen, J & Groisman, PY 2013, Assessing the spatiotemporal variation in distribution, extent and NPP of terrestrial ecosystems in response to climate change from 1911 to 2000. PloS one, 8: p.e80394.
Ghahraman, B & Taghvaeian, S 2008, Investigation of annual rainfall trends in Iran. Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology, 10: 93–97.
Gheibi, F, Kiadaliri, H, Attarod, P, Babaei Kafaky, S & Shirvany, S 2021, Rainfall and dust interception potentials of oak trees and plantations in the Zagros region. Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences, 19: 391-399
Goyal, RK 2004, Sensitivity of evapotranspiration to global warming: a case study of arid zone of Rajasthan (India). Agricultural Water Management, 69: 1-11.
Heidarlou, HB, Banej Shafiei, A, Erfanian, M, Tayyebi, A & Alijanpour, A 2019, Effects of preservation policy on land use changes in Iranian Northern Zagros forests. Land Use Policy, 81: 76-90.
Hosseinzadeh, J & Pourhashemi, M 2015, An investigation on the relationship between crown indices and the severity of oak forests decline in Ilam. Iranian Journal of Forest, 7: 57-66.
Hsiao, TC 1973, Plant responses to water stress. The Annual Review of Plant Physiology, 24: 519-570.
Huo, Z, Dai, X, Feng, S, Kang, S & Huang, G 2013, Effect of climate change on reference evapotranspiration and aridity index in arid region of China. Journal of Hydrology, 492: 24-34.
IPCC 2007, Summary for policymakers. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z and others (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Jaagus, J 2006, Climatic changes in Estonia during the second half of the 20th century in relationship with changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 83: 77-88.
Jackson, RB, Jobbágy, EG, Avissar, R, Roy, SB, Barrett, DJ, Cook, CW, Farley, KA, Le Maitre, DC, McCarl, BA & Murray, BC 2005, Trading water for carbon with biological carbon sequestration. Science, 310: 1944-1947.
Japelaghi, M, Gholamalifard, M & Shayesteh, K 2019, Spatio-temporal analysis and prediction of landscape patterns and change processes in the Central Zagros region, Iran. Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment, 15: 100244.
Jung, M, Reichstein, M, Ciais, P, Seneviratne, SI, Sheffield, J, Goulden, ML, Bonan, G, Cescatti, A, Chen, J, De Jeu, R & Dolman, AJ 2010, Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply. Nature, 467: 951-954.
Karandish, F, Mousavi, SS & Tabari, H 2016, Climate change impact on precipitation and cardinal temperatures in different climatic zones in Iran: analyzing the probable effects on cereal water-use efficiency. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 31: 2121-2146, DOI: 10.1007/s00477-016-1355-y.
Karim, MH, Sardar Shahraki, A, Kiani Ghalesard, S & Fahimi, F 2020, Management challenges and adaptations
with climate change in Iran forests. Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences, 18: 81-91.
Lauenroth, WK & Sala, OE 1992, Long‐term forage production of North American shortgrass steppe. Ecological Applications, 2: 397-403.
Li, X, Xie, SP, Gille, S & Yoo, C 2016, Atlantic-induced pan-tropical climate change over the past three decades. Nature Climate Change, 6: 275-279.
Liang, L, Li, L & Liu Q 2010, Temporal variation of reference evapotranspiration during 1961–2005 in the Taoer River basin of Northeast China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150: 298-306.
Luo, Z, Wu, W, Yu, X, Song, Q, Yang, J, Wu, J & Zhang, H 2018, Variation of net primary production and its correlation with climate change and anthropogenic activities over the Tibetan Plateau. Remote Sensing, 10:1352.
Mann, HB 1945, Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometric Society, pp. 245-259.
Maruyama, A, Ohba, K, Kurose, Y & Miyamoto, T 2004, Seasonal variation in evapotranspiration from mat rush grown in paddy field. Agricultural Meteorology, 104: 289-301.
Mohamed, MAA, Babiker, IS, Chen, ZM, Ikeda, K, Ohta, K & Kato, K 2004, The role of climate variability in the inter-annual variation of terrestrial net primary production (NPP). Science of the Total Environment, 332: 123-137.
Mosavi, SH, Soltani, S & Khalilian, S 2020, Coping with climate change in agriculture: Evidence from Hamadan-Bahar plain in Iran. Agricultural Water Management, 241: 106332.
Pakmehr, S, Yazdanpanah, M & Baradaran, M 2020, How collective efficacy makes a difference in responses to water shortage due to climate change in southwest Iran. Land Use Policy, 99: 104798.
Pereira, MFR, Figueiredo, JL, Órfão, JJ, Serp, P, Kalck, P & Kihn, Y 2004, Catalytic activity of carbon nanotubes in the oxidative dehydrogenation of ethylbenzene. Carbon, 42: 2807-2813.
Pourhashemi, M & Sadeghi, SMM 2020, A review on ecological causes of oak decline phenomenon in forests of Iran. Ecology of Iranian Forest, 8:148-164.
Pourhashemi, M, Jahanbazi Goujani, H, Hosseinzadeh, J, Bordbar, SK, Iranmanesh, Y & Khodakarami. Y 2017, The history of oak decline in Zagros forests. Iran Nature, 2: 30-37.
Rashidi Tazhan, O, Pir Bavahgar, M & Ghazanfari, H 2019, Detecting pollarded stands in Northern Zagros
forests, using artificial neural network classifier on multi-temporal lansat-8(OLI) imageries (Case study:
Armarde, Baneh). Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences, 17: 83-96.
Richardson, AD, Keenan, TF, Migliavacca, M Ryu, Y, Sonnentag, O & Toomey, M 2013, Climate change, phenology, and phenological control of vegetation feedbacks to the climate system. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 169: 156–173.
Safaei, M, Rezayan, H, Firouzabadi, PZ & Sadidi, J 2021, Optimization of species distribution models using a generic algorithm for simulating climate change effects on Zagros forests in Iran. Ecological Informatics, 63: 101288.
Sagheb Talebi, K, Sajedi, T & Pourhashemi, M 2014, Forests of Iran: A Treasure from the Past, a Hope for the Future (No. 15325). Springer Netherlands. Doi: 10.1007/978-94-007-7371-4-1.
Singh, VP & Xu, CY 1997, Evaluation and generalization of 13 mass‐transfer equations for determining free water evaporation. Hydrological Processes, 11: 311-323.
Suni, T, Guenther, A, Hansson, HC, Kulmala, M, Andreae, MO, Arneth, A, Artaxo, P, Blyth, E, Brus, M, Ganzeveld, L & Kabat, P 2015, The significance of land-atmosphere interactions in the Earth system iLEAPS achievements and perspectives. Anthropocene, 12: 69-84.
Tabari, H, Marofi, S, Aeini, A, Talaee, PH & Mohammadi, K 2011, Trend analysis of reference evapotranspiration in the western half of Iran. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151: 128-136.
Tanaka, N, Kume, T, Yoshifuji, N, Tanaka, K, Takizawa, H, Shiraki, K, Tantasirin, C, Tangtham, N & Suzuki, M 2008, A review of evapotranspiration estimates from tropical forests in Thailand and adjacent regions. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148: 807-819.
Tang, B, Tong, L, Kang, S & Zhang, L 2011, Impacts of climate variability on reference evapotranspiration over 58 years in the Haihe river basin of north China. Agricultural Water Management, 98: 1660-1670.
Sharifi, A, Mirabbasi, R, Nasr-Esfahani, MA, Torabi Haghighi, A & Fatahi Nafchi, R 2021, Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic changes and climate variability on runoff changes in central plateau of Iran using nine. Journal of Hydrology, 60: 127045.
Wang, XM, Liu, HJ, Zhang, LW & Zhang, RH 2014, Climate change trend and its effects on reference evapotranspiration at Linhe Station, Hetao Irrigation District. Water Science Engineering, 7: 250-266.
Waring, RH & Running, SW 2007, Forest Ecosystems Analysis at Multiple Scales, 3rd ed. Elsevier Academic Press, Burlington, San Diego, London.
Wentz, FL, Ricciardulli, L, Hilburn, K & Mears, C 2007, How much more rain will global warming bring?. Science, 317: 233-235.
Yang Y, Wang, Z, Li, J, Gang, C, Zhang, Y, Odeh, I & Qi, J 2017, Assessing the spatiotemporal dynamic of global grassland carbon use efficiency in response to climate change from 2000 to 2013. Acta Oecologica, 81: 22–31. Doi: 10.1016/j.actao.2017.04.004
Yang, J, Zhang, X, Luo, Z & Yu, X 2017, Nonlinear variations of net primary productivity and its relationship with climate and vegetation phenology, China. Forests, 8: 361.
Ye, JS, Reynolds, JF, Sun, GJ & Li, FM 2013, Impacts of increased variability in precipitation and air temperature on net primary productivity of the Tibetan Plateau: a modeling analysis. Climate Change, 119: 321-332.
Zandebasiri, M, Soosani, J & Pourhashemi, M 2017, Evaluating existing strategies in environmental crisis of Zagros forests of Iran. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 15: 621-632.
Zeleňáková, M, Jothiprakash, V Arjun, S, Káposztásová, D & Hlavatá, H 2018, Dynamic Analysis of Meteorological Parameters in Košice Climatic Station in Slovakia. Water, 10: 702.
Zhang, Q, Xu, CY, Zhang, Z, Chen, YD & Liu, CL 2009, Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation over China, 1951–2005. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 95: 53-68.
Zhi, H, Wang, P, Dan, L, Yu, Y, Xu, Y & Zheng, W 2009, Climate-vegetation interannual variability in a coupled atmosphere-ocean-land model. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 26: 599-612.
Zhu, Z, Bi, J, Pan, Y, Ganguly, S, Anav, A, Xu, L, Samanta, A, Piao, S, Nemani, RR & Myneni, RB 2013, Global data sets of vegetation leaf area index (LAI) 3g and fraction of photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR) 3g derived from global inventory modeling and mapping studies (GIMMS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI3g) for the period 1981 to 2011. Remote Sensing, 5: 927-948. | ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 21 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 47 |
||