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Predicting the impact of climate change on the spatial distribution of Euphrates spiny eel Mastacembelus mastacembelus (Banks & Solander, 1794) in Iran | ||
| Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences | ||
| دوره 24، شماره 4، دی 2026، صفحه 1081-1090 اصل مقاله (1.24 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22124/cjes.2024.7598 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Mahmood Rezaei1؛ Abdolrahim Pazira* 1؛ Hossein Mostafavi* 2؛ Azad Teimori3؛ Fazel Amiri1 | ||
| 1Department of Environment, Bushehr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Bushehr, Iran | ||
| 2Department of Bio-diversity and Ecosystem Management, Environmental Sciences Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 3Department of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, Iran | ||
| چکیده | ||
| The phenomenon of climate change is occurring more rapidly in the global climate due to the role of human factors than in other periods of climate change, and this feature causes the existing ecosystems and species to not have enough time to adapt to this environmental change. The impacts of climate change on the spatial distribution of spiny eel Mastacembelus mastacembelus in Iran were investigated using the MaxEnt modeling technique in R software environment under optimistic and pessimistic climate change scenarios of the 2050s and 2080s. Six environmental variables, including annual precipitation, slope, flow accumulation, temperature annual range, annual mean temperature, and upstream drainage area were used. The performance of the model in predicting the species was "good" based on the AUC (area under the curve) criterion. This spatial distribution of species will decrease under optimistic and pessimistic scenarios in 2050 and 2080. These results can be used by the manager in order to plan conservational strategies to protect this species in the future in front of climate change impacts. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| Spices distribution modeling (SDM)؛ MaxEnt model؛ Fish diversity؛ Conservation | ||
| مراجع | ||
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